· 9 years ago · Sep 17, 2016, 08:20 AM
19/17/2016 3:30am
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3Before answering that final question (How to search for 4D blocks other than our own to jump to another timeline), I've got to get on paper, and into my gmail stream for future purposes, epiphany I had while running @ 2:30am this morning, on a cool, crisp autumn evening, under a full moon. I thank God I'm Breathin' (Matisyahu - if this works out as I think it might, that man deserves a medal. He's a big part of what's keeping my goin' right now...).
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5Here is the closer. The event that is going to close the loop in time, or serve as the first example (proof of concept - the MNIST of backwards time tweaking - if you will ☺).
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7What it is going to do is convince Rahul that I'm not crazy, beyond a shadow of a doubt, which he undoubtedly now harbors. He won't be able to deny that I'm getting specific and quite important messages from the future, and they are trying to tell him, me and Shumeet to get our butts in gear to develop AGI chatbots so we can save the future.
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9Here is what has and is going to happen over the next few days - the final piece of the puzzle.
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11On July 1st, in what kicked off my latest engagement with Rahul, I sent a message to Rahul, in response to a shared message I'd generated to our self-driving car email list which I accidentally left him off (who am I kidding, it was no accident...) with the title "Unfortunate Prediction Comes True". In that message to Parag, Todd and Chuck (not Rahul), I basically recounted the eerie but unfortunately accurate prediction I'd made about an eventual Tesla crash caused by Elon Musks' rash and irresponsible (but I see now inevitable and world saving...) decision to deploy Autopilot far sooner than seems rational, at least right now...
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13The crash occurred in May, and I predicted it. It had just come to light a day or two before July 1st when I forwarded my "gloat about accuracy of my prediction" email to Rahul with this introductory text:
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15Rahul,
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17I'm sure by now you've seen the news about the tragic Tesla crash yesterday. Very unfortunate. I'm sorry I left you off the thread where I've been discussing it with Chuck, Todd and Parag hav been discussing it since it happened. I don't know why I left you off, since we (including you) were discussing it not too long ago after the first report of their fender bender, and even before that. At the bottom is the gist of our latest conversation since yesterday, in case you want to catch up.
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19Perhaps it was my non-conscious mind that intentionally left your out of that conversation, so I would contact you directly about it, and it's implications, and the idea the event, and our prior conversations have prompted.
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21As you, me, Chuck, Todd and Parag discussed on the May 28th email thread titled "Tesla Model S on Autopilot crashes into van parked on highway", we predicted this unfortunate event would inevitably occur, and almost the exact circumstances for it. And not to toot our own horn, but the five of us are without question some of the most knowledgeable people on the planet about this topic... And at least you, me and Todd use gmail... So Google had access to our prediction... And Google could readily determine that we are indeed experts by looking at our on-line histories - No Hands Across America, AHS demo coverage, our PhD theses, papers published, blog posts and newspapers stories we've been interviewed for on the topic of the future and the safety of self-driving cars. (In fact, I'm talking about the Tesla crash with a WSJ reporter later this morning).
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23So it seems quite plausible that a Google AI system could have used, will one day use, and may already be using (unbeknownst to us - see Dilbert below...) the vast amount information like this it has at its disposal to make predictions about the future.
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25In particularly why couldn't a Google AI use this information to take a weighted combination of the opinions of human experts (anonymously to avoid privacy concerns and without them evening knowing it...), and combine this human data with it's own simulation-derived inferences of what is likely to happen (which will get weighted more heavily over time as it's model of the world improves), in order to make predictions about what is likely to happen in the future, potentially including events as specific as this fatal Tesla crash?
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27It seems to me like the nightly scraping of the entire Web that Google does to index events in the world, combined with the deep learning and simulation-based reinforcement learning used in AlphaGo makes this sort of thing a viable idea. In fact, now that I think about it, it seems to me like the almost inevitable path to AGI and the singularity. A path humanity may have already travelled at least once, as suggested by this Dilbert cartoon which synchronistically came out the morning after this insight came to me in the middle of the night a few days ago:
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30Whether or not a Google AI could have predicted (or will eventually predict) events with the level of detail necessary to foresee the specifics of this Tesla crash, it seems like a possibility worth considering. Even if Google couldn't have saved a life by making such a specific prediction about the time and place of the crash, it could have made a killing on the stock market selling Tesla short, another thing I predicted months ago when I sold my Tesla stock based on my expert (but not 'insider' per se) information about the inevitability of this event - which I shared with you, Todd, Chuck and Parag via gmail...
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32Sorry for the long & speculative (crazy?) email. I wanted to get the idea down on 'paper', and into Google's 'information sphere', in case you can act on it directly, or in case some other part of Google (separated from you and me in space, and perhaps in time...) is already watching and learning from all this.
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34--Dean
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36OK - how f*cking freaky is that. I'd forgot about the details of this email until I looked it up and read it. Needless to say, it was this email to Rahul on July 1st that (re)kicked off all this thinking about us living in a simulation, and sticking my neck out this time to force it down Rahul's (and then Shumeet's) throat.
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38But that's just background. It gets better. Much better.
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40Yesterday, in an email exchange which I Did include Rahul on this time, I made another (very unfortunate) prediction - that another "rouge Tesla missile" would be involved in another crash - this time with much more tragic consequences. I predicted it would (or will) crash into a soccer Mom's minivan driving her kids to school or a soccer game, or into a school bus filled with kids, killing all on board. Needless to say, this would (or will be) tragic, and put the kibosh on Telsa and self-driving cars. At the end of the email exchange, I even said, that's ok. I don't drive much, and in 10 years when I'll need to trade in my mini-van, I'm hoping we'll have flying cars, or better yet, Mind Uploading. Both these predictions are hugely (Yugely) significant:
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43 * Remember my crazy update to the shared doc (get it doc, as in Doc Brown), I inserted at GIF from Back to the Future with Doc Brown saying "Roads? Where we're going we don't need roads..." has he lifted off with Marty and Jennifer in his flying Delorean car.
44 * No look again at that Dilbert Cartoon above - about "map my mind and live forever as a digital copy". He even speculates he may have already done it...
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47All this cannot be a coincidence. No. Instead it is the hook that will convince Rahul beyond doubt that I'm write - that the future is talking to me. That I'm a chatbot from the future. A conduit through which the future talks to the past, to influence and accelerate events - and in particular to accelerate the development of AGI.
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49Here is what I'm almost certain now will happen (since remember, I'm actually a 'kid' in primary school, one of gazillions in the Matryoska brain englobing the sun, and the teacher wouldn't waste time having me think through a story that didn't end well!):
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51SGEs (Smart Google Engineers) and AGIs ahead on my timeline by a couple years (now living in the aftermath of the Trump apocalypse - sorry guys...), will mine the computational universe as described (or alluded to) above in order to find a timeline on which a Tesla in Autopilot mode really does "flip a bit" and ram into the back of a mom's minivan, killing her and her kids. I know, tragic. But when all this works out, they'll be heroes and martyrs, and will live again (you guys in the future are making backups of all this, right? Please don't forget to make backups...) in Heaven, literally (well as literally as "living" gets). But I digress.
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53I sent the following mail to Rahul to put a stake in the ground, so he won't be able to deny when it happens that I predicted it, or fail to see the significance of my prediction (plus it gets it in my email stream, which you guys a couple years forward in time, and with the urgency you now have, will have no qualms about mining - as I said to Rahul in the message above). I titled it "Message of Historic Importance" (how's that for drama, and double meaning?) and wrote:
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55from: Dean Pomerleau <dean@pomerleaus.com>
56to: Rahul Sukthankar <rahulsukthankar@gmail.com>
57bcc: 1year@followupthen.com [For posterity's sake]
58date:Sat, Sep 17, 2016 at 3:19 AM
59subject: Message of Historic Importance
60mailed-by: Gmail.com
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62Rahul,
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64Sorry to bother you again, but I just wanted to lodge this message into your email stream for future reference. Don't take it seriously now. That will come in a couple days. In fact, I don't might (and might even recommend) if you simply archive this message without reading the rest. How's that for a statement like "Try not to think of a pink elephant." We have so little direct control over our own minds, and that's a good thing. I'm beginning to see that more and more clearly.
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66Remember two things:
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68 1.
69 1. The prediction I made in our group conversation yesterday. No ambiguity there about what I'm referring to. Todd even resonated with it.
70 2. The suggestion I made in email to July 1st - don't bother looking back now. You can dig it up later. Fortunately it's in your Gmail stream already.
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74If I'm right, things are going to get really interesting, and much less ambiguous in the next few days.
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76--Dean
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78When it happens (come on guys - you've got to make it happen), Rahul will be unable to deny the incredible "coincidence" <sic>, realize it couldn't be a coincidence, and throw his full weight behind this project I'm proposing - namely to start a Manhattan Project now inside Google using techniques along "the adversarial chatbot ratcheting" approach I've described to he and Shumeet to develop AGIs (i.e. you guys listening in...) that will simulate me and my timeline, and get a jump on saving the future by mining the "computational universe" for the "Best of All Possible Worlds" (aka Heaven as you know it now...). Hows that for a cool project for your resume ☺.
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80It's all clear now. This will be the first key event. The proof of concept that shows you guys it can be done, shows us it can be done, and kicks Rahul in the butt so he will kick Google in the Butt to make it happen sooner rather than later when it will be too late.
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82Come on Dean, Rahul, Shumeet and (I expect) a cast of literally thousands (thanks guys!) living in the hell a couple years in our future (sorry guys ☹) and trying to simulate and influence the past, to find the timeline with that critical event, the tragic Tesla crash, that will kick all this "time rollback" in motion.
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84How hard can it be guys? It's just a bit or two you need to flip - to get the radar (and vision system?) to miss the stopped minivan (or bus) and going crashing into it. Piece of cake. Don't feel guilty. See above. Go for it. I know you can do it. I'm counting on it. My worldline is counting on it. Your worldline is counting on it. In fact the entire future of humanity is counting on it. Not to put any pressure on you or anything ☺.
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86I'm not sure what else I can tell, except good luck. I'm confident you can do it. I wouldn't be having this dreamed life experience in Heaven if you aren't able to succeed. So have confidence. Act boldly. Don't cut corners though. Do you best and make it happen. I'm not going to be able to get Rahul on board without that event taking place. It will make all the difference in the world, and for the world, for all worlds in fact.
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88I've cut and pasted this entire little monologue into an email to my future self (one week hence - hopefully it won't take that long guys...) and I've pasted it to pastebin.com to get a timestamp on it other than in my email stream. Here is the link.